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Quantifying the Impact of Critical Infrastructure Failure due to Extreme Weather Events

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Download C171_ICASP12-Full_Paper-Paper_#338.pdf259.98 KB
Author(s)
O'Brien, Eugene J. 
Hajializadeh, Donya 
Power, Richard T. 
Uri
http://hdl.handle.net/10197/7024
Date Issued
15 July 2015
Date Available
15T09:45:40Z September 2015
Abstract
The recent extreme weather events in Europe and around the world have raised issues about the organization and management of critical infrastructure. There is uncertainty and a lack of information on how infrastructure should be managed when subject to these extreme events. The existence of chaos and uncertainty in these situations can result in disruptions to transport, power outages and in the most extreme instances, loss of life. The 7th Framework RAIN (Risk Analysis of Infrastructure Networks in response to extreme weather) project is addressing these issues, involving partners from Ireland, Belgium, Germany, Finland, Italy, Netherlands, Slovenia and Spain. The objective of the RAIN project is to provide an operational analysis framework to minimize the impact of major weather events in the EU. This paper summarizes the work that will be performed in one of the work packages of the RAIN project. This work package will examine the impact of critical infrastructure failure on society, security issues and the economy. Based on a risk analysis framework, a means of quantifying the level of risk will be established, firstly due to single land transport mode failures, and secondly for selected multi-mode-interdependent failure scenarios (e.g., failure of power stations result in failure of electrical train lines). In this study, methods will be developed to create an advanced risk assessment procedure, using a probabilistic based approach, to derive a measurable indicator of risk. The risk procedure will be benchmarked against case studies conducted on critical transport and operational tactical connections. The project outputs will contribute to the process of knowledge management used in the protection of Critical Infrastructure and will provide a basis for the development of decision support systems.
Sponsorship
European Commission - Seventh Framework Programme (FP7)
Type of Material
Conference Publication
Keywords
  • Extreme weather

  • Infrastructure

  • Risk assessment

DOI
10.14288/1.0076110
Web versions
http://hdl.handle.net/2429/53304
http://icasp12.ubc.ca/
Language
English
Status of Item
Peer reviewed
Description
12th International Conference on Applications of Statistics and Probability in Civil Engineering (ICASP12), Vancouver, Canada, 12 -15 July, 2015
This item is made available under a Creative Commons License
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/ie/
Owning collection
Civil Engineering Research Collection
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1766
Acquisition Date
Feb 3, 2023
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Acquisition Date
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