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Change points of global temperature
Author(s)
Date Issued
2015-08
Date Available
2015-12-22T16:35:25Z
Abstract
We aim to address the question of whether or not there is a significant recent 'hiatus', 'pause' or 'slowdown' of global temperature rise. Using a statistical technique known as change point (CP) analysis we identify the changes in four global temperature records and estimate the rates of temperature rise before and after these changes occur. For each record the results indicate that three CPs are enough to accurately capture the variability in the data with no evidence of any detectable change in the global warming trend since∼1970. We conclude that the term 'hiatus' or 'pause' cannot be statistically justified.
Sponsorship
European Commission - European Regional Development Fund
Higher Education Authority
Science Foundation Ireland
Type of Material
Journal Article
Publisher
IOP Publishing
Journal
Environmental Research Letters
Volume
10
Issue
8
Start Page
1
End Page
6
Copyright (Published Version)
2015 IOP Publishing Ltd.
Language
English
Status of Item
Peer reviewed
This item is made available under a Creative Commons License
File(s)
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Name
Cahill_globalchangepoints_2015.pdf
Size
813.4 KB
Format
Adobe PDF
Checksum (MD5)
227b7d8b616fe158b6181bb48ec7521a
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