The principles and methods behind EFSA's Guidance on Uncertainty Analysis in Scientific Assessment

DC FieldValueLanguage
dc.contributor.authorBenford, Diane-
dc.contributor.authorHalldorsson, Thorhallur-
dc.contributor.authorJeger, Michael John-
dc.contributor.authorMore, Simon John-
dc.contributor.authoret al.-
dc.date.accessioned2019-04-24T07:59:52Z-
dc.date.available2019-04-24T07:59:52Z-
dc.date.copyright2018 European Food Safety Authorityen_US
dc.date.issued2018-01-24-
dc.identifier.citationEFSA Journalen_US
dc.identifier.issn1831-4732-
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10197/10101-
dc.description.abstractTo meet the general requirement for transparency in EFSA's work, all its scientific assessments must consider uncertainty. Assessments must say clearly and unambiguously what sources of uncertainty have been identified and what is their impact on the assessment conclusion. This applies to all EFSA's areas, all types of scientific assessment and all types of uncertainty affecting assessment. This current Opinion describes the principles and methods supporting a concise Guidance Document on Uncertainty in EFSA's Scientific Assessment, published separately. These documents do not prescribe specific methods for uncertainty analysis but rather provide a flexible framework within which different methods may be selected, according to the needs of each assessment. Assessors should systematically identify sources of uncertainty, checking each part of their assessment to minimise the risk of overlooking important uncertainties. Uncertainty may be expressed qualitatively or quantitatively. It is neither necessary nor possible to quantify separately every source of uncertainty affecting an assessment. However, assessors should express in quantitative terms the combined effect of as many as possible of identified sources of uncertainty. The guidance describes practical approaches. Uncertainty analysis should be conducted in a flexible, iterative manner, starting at a level appropriate to the assessment and refining the analysis as far as is needed or possible within the time available. The methods and results of the uncertainty analysis should be reported fully and transparently. Every EFSA Panel and Unit applied the draft Guidance to at least one assessment in their work area during a trial period of one year. Experience gained in this period resulted in improved guidance. The Scientific Committee considers that uncertainty analysis will be unconditional for EFSA Panels and staff and must be embedded into scientific assessment in all areas of EFSA's work.en_US
dc.language.isoenen_US
dc.publisherWileyen_US
dc.rightsEFSA Journal published by John Wiley and Sons Ltd on behalf of European Food Safety Authority. This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NoDerivsLicense,which permits use and distribution in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited and no modifications or adaptations are made.en_US
dc.subjectUncertainty analysisen_US
dc.subjectPrinciplesen_US
dc.subjectScientific assessmenten_US
dc.subjectGuidanceen_US
dc.titleThe principles and methods behind EFSA's Guidance on Uncertainty Analysis in Scientific Assessmenten_US
dc.typeJournal Articleen_US
dc.internal.authorcontactothersimon.more@ucd.ieen_US
dc.statusPeer revieweden_US
dc.identifier.volume16en_US
dc.identifier.issue1en_US
dc.identifier.startpagee05122en_US
dc.identifier.doi10.2903/j.efsa.2018.5122-
dc.neeo.contributorBenford|Diane|aut|-
dc.neeo.contributorHalldorsson|Thorhallur|aut|-
dc.neeo.contributorJeger|Michael John|aut|-
dc.neeo.contributorMore|Simon John|aut|-
dc.neeo.contributoret al.||aut|-
dc.date.updated2018-08-10T08:37:04Z-
item.fulltextWith Fulltext-
item.grantfulltextopen-
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