Central Banks and Inflation: Where Do We Stand and How Did We Get Here?

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Title: Central Banks and Inflation: Where Do We Stand and How Did We Get Here?
Authors: Whelan, Karl
Permanent link: http://hdl.handle.net/10197/12561
Date: Aug-2021
Online since: 2021-10-19T11:13:28Z
Abstract: The inability of central banks to attain their target inflation rates in recent years has raised questions about the extent to which central banks can control the inflation process. This paper discusses the evolution of thought and evidence since the 1960s on the determinants of inflation and the role that should be played by central banks. The paper highlights the roles played by two streams of thought associated with Milton Friedman: Monetarist theories predicting a key role for monetary aggregates in determining inflation and the rise in popularity of the expectations-augmented Phillips curve. We discuss influence of the latter in determining the modern consensus on central bank institutions and the relative roles for fiscal and monetary policies. We conclude with a discussion of macroeconomic developments of the past decade and current policy options to stimulate the economy and restore inflation to its target levels, including the merits of “helicopter money”.
Type of material: Working Paper
Publisher: University College Dublin. School of Economics
Start page: 1
End page: 24
Series/Report no.: UCD Centre for Economic Research Working Paper Series; WP2021/20
Copyright (published version): 2021 the Author
Keywords: InflationCentral banksPhillips curveMilton Friedman
JEL Codes: E31; E52; E58
Language: en
Status of Item: Not peer reviewed
This item is made available under a Creative Commons License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/ie/
Appears in Collections:Economics Working Papers & Policy Papers

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