Football is becoming more predictable; network analysis of 88 thousand matches in 11 major leagues

DC FieldValueLanguage
dc.contributor.authorMaimone, Victor Martins-
dc.contributor.authorYasseri, Taha-
dc.date.accessioned2022-01-13T12:09:02Z-
dc.date.available2022-01-13T12:09:02Z-
dc.date.copyright2021 The Authorsen_US
dc.date.issued2021-12-15-
dc.identifier.citationRoyal Society Open Scienceen_US
dc.identifier.issn2054-5703-
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10197/12723-
dc.description.abstractIn recent years, excessive monetization of football and professionalism among the players have been argued to have affected the quality of the match in different ways. On the one hand, playing football has become a high-income profession and the players are highly motivated; on the other hand, stronger teams have higher incomes and therefore afford better players leading to an even stronger appearance in tournaments that can make the game more imbalanced and hence predictable. To quantify and document this observation, in this work, we take a minimalist network science approach to measure the predictability of football over 26 years in major European leagues. We show that over time, the games in major leagues have indeed become more predictable. We provide further support for this observation by showing that inequality between teams has increased and the home-field advantage has been vanishing ubiquitously. We do not include any direct analysis on the effects of monetization on football’s predictability or therefore, lack of excitement; however, we propose several hypotheses which could be tested in future analyses.en_US
dc.language.isoenen_US
dc.publisherThe Royal Societyen_US
dc.rightsPublished by the Royal Society under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/, which permits unrestricted use, provided the original author and source are credited.en_US
dc.subjectFootballen_US
dc.subjectNetworken_US
dc.subjectPerditionen_US
dc.subjectCentralityen_US
dc.titleFootball is becoming more predictable; network analysis of 88 thousand matches in 11 major leaguesen_US
dc.title.alternativeFootball is becoming boring; Network analysis of 88 thousands matches in 11 major leaguesen_US
dc.typeJournal Articleen_US
dc.internal.authorcontactothertaha.yasseri@ucd.ieen_US
dc.statusPeer revieweden_US
dc.identifier.volume8en_US
dc.identifier.issue12en_US
dc.citation.otherArticle Number: 210617en_US
dc.identifier.doi10.1098/rsos.210617-
dc.neeo.contributorMaimone|Victor Martins|aut|-
dc.neeo.contributorYasseri|Taha|aut|-
dc.description.othersponsorshipEngineering and Physical Sciences Research Councilen_US
dc.date.updated2021-12-17T17:47:08Z-
dc.identifier.grantidEP/N510129/1-
dc.rights.licensehttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/ie/en_US
item.grantfulltextopen-
item.fulltextWith Fulltext-
Appears in Collections:Sociology Research Collection
Geary Institute Research Collection
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