Commodity Futures Hedging, Risk Aversion and the Hedging Horizon

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Title: Commodity Futures Hedging, Risk Aversion and the Hedging Horizon
Authors: Conlon, Thomas
Gençay, Ramazan
Cotter, John
Permanent link: http://hdl.handle.net/10197/3914
Date: 2012
Abstract: This paper examines the impact of investor preferences on the optimal futures hedging strategy and associated hedging performance. Explicit risk aversion levels are often overlooked in hedging analysis. Applying a mean-variance hedging objective, the optimal futures hedging ratio is determined for a range of investor preferences on risk aversion, hedging horizon and expected returns. Wavelet analysis is applied to illustrate how investor time horizon shapes hedging strategy. Empirical results reveal substantial variation of the optimal hedge ratio for distinct investor preferences and are supportive of the hedging policies of real firms. Hedging performance is then shown to be strongly dependent on underlying preferences. In particular, investors with high levels of risk aversion and a short horizon reduce the risk of the hedge portfolio but achieve inferior utility in comparison to those with low risk aversion.
Funding Details: Science Foundation Ireland
Type of material: Working Paper
Publisher: UCD Geary Institute
Copyright (published version): 2012, UCD Geary Institute
Keywords: Commodity marketsWavelet analysisSelective hedgingRisk aversionHedging horizonFutures hedging
Subject LCSH: Hedging (Finance)
Futures
Commodity exchanges
Risk
Language: en
Status of Item: Not peer reviewed
Appears in Collections:FMC² Research Collection
Business Research Collection

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