The Heuristic Conception of Inference to the Best Explanation
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|Title:||The Heuristic Conception of Inference to the Best Explanation||Authors:||Dellsén, Finnur||Permanent link:||http://hdl.handle.net/10197/8778||Date:||24-May-2017||Abstract:||An influential suggestion about the relationship between Bayesianism and inference to the best explanation (IBE) holds that IBE functions as a heuristic to approximate Bayesian reasoning. While this view promises to unify Bayesianism and IBE in a very attractive manner, important elements of the view have not yet been spelled out in detail. I present and argue for a heuristic conception of IBE on which IBE serves primarily to locate the most probable available explanatory hypothesis to serve as a working hypothesis in an agent’s further investigations. Along the way, I criticize what I consider to be an overly ambitious conception of the heuristic role of IBE, according to which IBE serves as a guide to absolute probability values. My own conception, by contrast, requires only that IBE can function as a guide to the comparative probability values of available hypotheses. This is shown to be a much more realistic role for IBE given the nature and limitations of the explanatory considerations with which IBE operates.||Type of material:||Journal Article||Publisher:||Springer||Journal:||Philosophical Studies||End page:||12
|Keywords:||Inference to the best explanation; Bayesianism; Inferential heuristics; Absolute versus comparative probabilities; Working hypotheses||DOI:||10.1007/s11098-017-0933-2||Language:||en||Status of Item:||Peer reviewed|
|Appears in Collections:||Philosophy Research Collection|
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