On the likely extent of falls in Irish house prices
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|Title:||On the likely extent of falls in Irish house prices||Authors:||Kelly, Morgan||Permanent link:||http://hdl.handle.net/10197/908||Date:||2007||Abstract:||Looking at house price cycles across the OECD since 1970, we find a strong relationship between the size of the initial rise in price and its subsequent fall. Were this relationship to hold for Ireland, it would predict falls of real house prices of 40 to 60 per cent over a period of 8 to 9 years. The unusually large size of the Irish house building industry suggest that any significant house price fall that does occur could impose a difficult adjustment on the economy.||Type of material:||Journal Article||Publisher:||Economic and Social Research Institute||Journal:||Quarterly Economic Commentary||Issue:||Summer 2007||Start page:||42||End page:||55||Copyright (published version):||Copyright held by the ERSI||Keywords:||Housing prices; Regression analysis; Macroeconomics; Economic impact||Subject LCSH:||Housing--Prices--Ireland
|Other versions:||http://proquest.umi.com/pqdweb?did=1309070721&sid=1&Fmt=6&clientId=13279&RQT=309&VName=PQD||Language:||en||Status of Item:||Peer reviewed|
|Appears in Collections:||Economics Research Collection|
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