Now showing 1 - 10 of 26
  • Publication
    Value of inspection in steel structural integrity management
    (IOP Publishing, 2018-05-04) ; ;
    Fatigue cracking is a common problem that needs to be managed in the life cycles of steel structures. Operational inspections and repairs are important means of fatigue crack management. Driven by high relevance in safety control and budget saving, inspection and maintenance planning has been widely studied. However, the value of inspection and repairs has typically not been fully appreciated and quantified rationally before they are implemented. The basic idea of this paper is to address the planning problem with focus on repair other than on inspection. A maintenance strategy without inspection is studied and serves as comparison of a maintenance strategy with inspection. Then the value of repair and the value of inspection relative to repair can be evaluated respectively. An illustrative example is performed on a typical fatigue-prone detail in steel structures.
      270
  • Publication
    A holistic approach to risk-based decision on inspection and design of fatigue-sensitive structures
    Design and operation of large welded structural systems (e.g. ship and offshore structures) are challenging due to numerous fatigue-sensitive details, limited available budgets, uncertainties in fatigue damages, inspection & maintenance activities, etc. Traditionally, fatigue design and maintenance planning have been almost disconnected, which restricts coherent decision-making and optimum safety management. Structural design optimization, without quantitatively incorporating the effects of operational maintenance, can hardly result in a structural plan that is optimum in terms of life cycle costs. Also, if the design of a structure is not optimum, maintenance optimization alone cannot really yield a optimum maintenance plan. As operational inspections and maintenance are essential, there are merits to utilize their effects on structural design and meanwhile optimize them at the initial design stage when impacts of decisions are greater. This paper proposes a risk-based approach to holistic decision-making enveloping decisions and uncertainties affecting design, inspection and maintenance of fatigue-sensitive components. Decisions variables in structural scantling and operational maintenance are obtained holistically at the structural design stage by risk-based optimization, based on quantitative assessment of the effectiveness of both structural scantling and maintenance interventions. Optimum fatigue reliability level is also obtained, informed by the effects of uncertainties and failure consequences. The method captures combined benefits of structural scantling and operational maintenance to fatigue reliability and risk mitigation and achieves optimum resource utilization and life cycle cost reduction. Advantages of the proposed method have been demonstrated via a numerical example, in comparison to alternative methods.
      279Scopus© Citations 4
  • Publication
    Reliability-based inspection planning in view of both crack initiation and propagation
    Fatigue cracks pose threats to the integrity of welded structures and thus need to be addressed in the whole service lives of structures. In-service inspections are important means to decease the probability of failure due to uncertainties that cannot be accounted for in the design stage. To help schedule inspection actions, the decline curve of reliability index with time needs to be known. A predictive tool is normally developed based on crack propagation models neglecting the crack initiation stage, which leads to conservative predictions for fatigue life. Inspection plans built on those predictions are far from optimal, especially for welds with relatively long crack initiation life. This paper proposes to use a fracture mechanics based reliabil-ity analysis method that takes the crack initiation stage into account via the concept of Time-To-Crack-Initiation (TTCI). The optimum inspection plan for a fatigue prone ship structural component is derived by the new approach and compared to the commonly-used method that only considers crack propagation life. Two inspection planning approaches are tested to investigate the influence of incorporating crack initiation period: (i) target reliability approach and, (ii) equidistant inspection times approach. With each planning ap-proach, two inspection methods are adopted: close visual and magnetic particle inspection. The paper con-cludes with recommendations on the inspection method and planning approach to adopt while considering and without considering the crack initiation stage.
      486Scopus© Citations 7
  • Publication
    Methodologies for Crack Initiation in Welded Joints Applied to Inspection Planning
    (World Academy of Science, Engineering and Technology, 2016-11-08) ; ;
    Over the past decades, crack propagation has been extensively studied by researchers around the word. The approach based on crack propagation models have been widely used in inspection planning. This approach has the advantage that it gives measurable fatigue damage accumulation in terms of crack propagation with time and thus crack propagation models can be updated with inspection results. However, a prerequisite for using crack propagation models in inspection planning is that parameters such as initial crack size, crack growth rate, geometry function, etc. are known.  Among those parameters, initial crack size, depending on welding quality, material and the environment, is associated with the most uncertainties because of sampling and measuring problems. Another prerequisite for using crack propagation models in inspection planning is that crack initiation period can be assumed to be negligible. Both prerequisites are challenged nowadays as manufacturing and welding techniques have been improved. Some high-quality welded joins have been proven free from detectable size of flaws and the crack initiation period can account for a large part of the whole fatigue life. This gives rise to big difficulty for inspection planning of high-quality welded joins, as there is no generally acceptable approach for modelling the whole fatigue process that includes crack initiation period. Compared to as-welded joints, reliable inspection planning is more crucial for high-quality welded joins, as they are generally designed to withstand a larger stress range. In addition, they may have shorter time for inspection as crack initiation time account for a large part of fatigue life, with a shorter crack propagation period to failure due to higher stress range. To address this problem for high-quality welded joints, a robust model accounting for the whole fatigue process needs to be developed. The core issue is how the crack initiation period can be modelled and added to the crack propagation time. To help identify this issue, this paper reviews treatment methods for crack initiation period and initial crack size in crack propagation models applied to inspection planning. Generally there are four approaches, by: 1) Neglecting the crack initiation period and fitting a probabilistic distribution for initial crack size based on statistical data, e.g. Weibull distribution or lognormal distribution; 2) Extrapolating the crack propagation stage to a very small fictitious initial crack size, so that the whole fatigue process can be modelled by crack propagation models; 3) Assuming a fixed detectable initial crack size and fitting a probabilistic distribution for crack initiation time based on specimen tests; 4) Modelling the crack initiation and propagation stage separately using small crack growth theories and Paris law or similar models. Conclusion is that in view of trade-off between accuracy and computation efforts, calibration of a small fictitious initial crack size to S-N curves is the most efficient approach.
      557
  • Publication
    A simplified method for holistic value of information computation for informed structural integrity management under uncertainty
    Collecting structural information by inspection or monitoring is important means to reduce uncertainty and improve the qualities of maintenance decisions in structural integrity management. However, information collecting inevitably involves some costs. When information collecting brings added value and to what extent uncertainty reduction suffices are questions that are often not fully accounted for before information collecting activities are carried out. Value of information (VoI) computation helps justifying investments and informing efficient strategies for information collecting. This paper develops a holistic approach to quantify the VoI from multiple inspections in the lifetime of an engineering structure, taking into account combined effects of lifetime maintenance interventions. The approach can be used for holistic planning and optimization of lifetime inspections at an early stage. Also, a simplified VoI computation approach is developed for some maintenance decision cases based on an alignment decision strategy (ADS). The approaches are exemplified on a typical marine structure, and sensitivities of VoI to the number of planned interventions, cost ratio, inspection times and methods are studied. It is shown that the ADS and the simplified method are well applicable when the number of planned interventions is large. The optimal maintenance decisions and inspection times obtained by VoI-based and cost-based optimization methods are compared.
      239Scopus© Citations 9
  • Publication
    An integrated probabilistic approach for optimum maintenance of fatigue-critical structural components
    Inspection and maintenance are important means to validate or recover reliability of metallic structural systems, which usually degrade over time due to fatigue, corrosion and other mechanisms. These inspection and maintenance actions generally account for a large part of lifetime costs, which necessitate an efficient maintenance strategy to satisfy the requirements on reliability and costs. Most often, an optimum maintenance/repair crack size criterion is derived by probabilistic cost-benefit analysis, e.g. by minimization of expected lifetime costs, which are assessed based on cost models. This paper proposes an integrated approach to derive an optimum range for repair (crack size) criterion using both reliability-based and cost-based optimization. It is found that an optimum repair criterion exists which leads to the maximum lifetime fatigue reliability. A smaller repair criterion than the reliability-optimum do not lead to a higher lifetime fatigue reliability but leads to higher lifetime costs. Hence, a limit for repair criterion is defined by the reliability-optimum criterion, which can be obtained without cost models. The reliability-optimum criterion is found to be smaller than the cost-optimum criterion and thus an optimum range between the reliability-optimum and cost-optimum criterion is established.
      310Scopus© Citations 10
  • Publication
    Fatigue inspection and maintenance optimization: A comparison of information value, life cycle cost and reliability based approaches
    Fatigue cracks increase structural failure risk and timely maintenance is very important. Maintenance planning is often formulated as a probabilistic optimization problem, considering uncertainties in structural and load modelling, material properties, damage measurements, etc. A decision rule or strategy, e.g. condition based maintenance (CBM), needs to be set up, and then an optimal maintenance criterion or threshold is derived via solving the optimization problem. This paper develops a probabilistic maintenance optimization approach exploiting value of information (VoI) computation and Bayesian decision optimization. The VoI based approach explicitly quantifies added values from future inspections, and gives an optimal decision (or strategy) by direct modelling decision alternatives and evaluating their expected outcomes, rather than a pre-defined strategy. A comparative study on VoI, life cycle cost (LCC) and reliability based optimization approaches is conducted. It is shown that the VoI based approach takes all available maintenance strategies into account (both with and without involving inspections), and can reliably yield optimal maintenance strategies, whether the VoI is larger than or equal to zero. When the VoI is equal to zero, LCC and reliability based CBM optimization can lead to suboptimal maintenance strategies. The differences in the approaches are illustrated on fatigue-sensitive components in a marine structure.
      440Scopus© Citations 14
  • Publication
    Field characterization of location-specific dynamic amplification factors towards fatigue calculations in ship unloaders
    This paper highlights the impact of dynamic amplification factors in remaining fatigue life assessment of ship unloaders. In practice, the widely accepted procedure for these structures is to carry out a fatigue life assessment envisages: (1) carrying out static analysis, (2) taking into account dynamics via the application of dynamic amplification factors, and (3) applying Miner's rule. This factor, provided by the standard, is applied to the structure as a whole without considering the vibration of each structural member individually. This paper characterizes the dynamic behavior of each element using location-based dynamic amplification factors estimated from measurements. This caters for a more accurate assessment of the structure, whilst maintaining the simplicity of the standard procedure.
      438Scopus© Citations 2
  • Publication
    Bayesian maintenance decision optimisation based on computing the information value from condition inspections
    A challenge in marine and offshore engineering is structural integrity management (SIM) of assets such as ships, offshore structures, mooring systems, etc. Due to harsh marine environments, fatigue cracking and corrosion present persistent threats to structural integrity. SIM for such assets is complicated because of a very large number of rewelded plates and joints, for which condition inspections and maintenance are difficult and expensive tasks. Marine SIM needs to take into account uncertainty in material properties, loading characteristics, fatigue models, detection capacities of inspection methods, etc. Optimising inspection and maintenance strategies under uncertainty is therefore vital for effective SIM and cost reductions. This paper proposes a value of information (VoI) computation and Bayesian decision optimisation (BDO) approach to optimal maintenance planning of typical fatigue-prone structural systems under uncertainty. It is shown that the approach can yield optimal maintenance strategies reliably in various maintenance decision making problems or contexts, which are characterized by different cost ratios. It is also shown that there are decision making contexts where inspection information doesn’t add value, and condition based maintenance (CBM) is not cost-effective. The CBM strategy is optimal only in the decision making contexts where VoI > 0. The proposed approach overcomes the limitation of CBM strategy and highlights the importance of VoI computation (to confirm VoI > 0) before adopting inspections and CBM.
      272Scopus© Citations 3
  • Publication
    Sources of structural failure in ship unloaders
    This paper reviews the most common causes of failure in ship unloaders. The structural forms employed in the design of ship unloaders and the characteristics of the loads acting on these structures are introduced first. Then, typical failures including overloading, joint failure, cable breaking, corrosion and fatigue failure amongst others, are described. Fatigue failure is discussed in further detail. When assessing a ship unloader for fatigue, it is necessary to define the fatigue demand and the fatigue strength capacity of those structural details under investigation. The latter experiences stress cycles that accumulate over time until reaching a limit that leads to cracking. Loads and stresses need to be monitored to describe those cycles, and critical locations must be checked to prevent a catastrophic failure.
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